Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054296 0.061788 0.069548 0.078156 0.087408 0.097024 0.107747
2025-04-06 0.043421 0.054566 0.066794 0.081063 0.097120 0.114502 0.134613
2025-04-13 0.034542 0.047522 0.062504 0.080739 0.102017 0.125767 0.153997
2025-04-20 0.031088 0.045925 0.063726 0.086068 0.112808 0.143285 0.180157
2025-04-27 0.025248 0.040499 0.059612 0.084411 0.114888 0.150366 0.194049
2025-05-04 0.022446 0.038527 0.059396 0.087172 0.121990 0.163149 0.214468
2025-05-11 0.018849 0.034982 0.056758 0.086553 0.124690 0.170495 0.228342
2025-05-18 0.016905 0.033499 0.056625 0.088965 0.131031 0.182166 0.247360
2025-05-25 0.015043 0.031883 0.056119 0.090739 0.136464 0.192675 0.264976
2025-06-01 0.012286 0.028500 0.052835 0.088538 0.136588 0.196469 0.274303
2025-06-08 0.009986 0.025506 0.049828 0.086470 0.136690 0.200088 0.283309
2025-06-15 0.009165 0.024936 0.050344 0.089255 0.143175 0.211770 0.302337
2025-06-22 0.008070 0.023829 0.050119 0.091197 0.148882 0.222941 0.321397
2025-06-29 0.007383 0.023418 0.050973 0.094750 0.156890 0.237261 0.344693
2025-07-06 0.006070 0.021520 0.049280 0.094466 0.159601 0.244728 0.359390
2025-07-13 0.005955 0.022127 0.051721 0.100360 0.170899 0.263462 0.388510
2025-07-20 0.004664 0.019860 0.049135 0.098536 0.171356 0.267942 0.399445
2025-07-27 0.004221 0.019481 0.049751 0.101580 0.178650 0.281464 0.422022
2025-08-03 0.003375 0.017870 0.048038 0.100898 0.180587 0.287841 0.435399
2025-08-10 0.003010 0.017458 0.048459 0.103555 0.187308 0.300630 0.457126
2025-08-17 0.002616 0.016855 0.048461 0.105506 0.192998 0.312048 0.477110
2025-08-24 0.001905 0.014988 0.045856 0.103084 0.192194 0.314607 0.485460
2025-08-31 0.001347 0.013313 0.043434 0.100807 0.191489 0.317217 0.493826